Two thirds of Canadians believe that Donald Trump’s election as President of the United States will negatively impact the Canadian economy.

January 15, 2025

Following the 2024 US election, we asked Canadians if they expect Donald Trump’s election as President to have a positive impact, no impact or a negative impact on four key factors.

A majority of Canadians (63%) believe that the Canadian economy will be negatively impacted by US election results, while two in ten anticipate a positive economic impact.

Almost one half of Canadians (46%) believe Donald Trump’s second presidency will negatively impact the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, while three in ten (29%) anticipate it will have a positive effect.

Opinions are mixed on whether President-elect Trump will have a positive or negative impact on Canada’s border security (42% believe positive impact vs. 37% negative), as well as Canada’s defence spending (35% positive vs. 33% negative).

Notably, Canadians aged 18-24 are more likely to say President-elect Trump will have a positive impact on the Canadian economy and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while those aged 55 or over are more concerned about negative consequences. As well, men are consistently more likely than women to say that President-elect Trump will have a positive impact on all four factors.


Results are from an online survey conducted in partnership between Narrative Research and the Logit Group. The survey was conducted from December 10-12, 2024, with 1,231 Canadians from the Logit Group’s online Canadian Omnibus. Data were weighted based on the 2021 Census, by gender, age, and region to reflect actual population distribution. For more information, please contact:

Margaret Chapman, COO & Partner, Narrative Research – 902.493.3834, mchapman@narrativeresearch.ca

OR

Sam Pisani, Managing Partner, Logit Group – 416.629.4116, sam.pisani@logitgroup.com

Narrative Research (www.narrativeresearch.ca), is a non-partisan, 100% Canadian-owned, research company, certified as a Women Business Enterprise (WBE). Narrative Research provides clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services. 

The Logit Group (https://logitgroup.com/) is a leading North American data collection and market research execution company headquartered in Toronto, conducting large-scale projects for a variety of well-known research agencies and brands. Logit employs industry-best technologies across an array of methodologies, and is independent, experienced and quality-oriented. 

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