- The Liberals forge ahead of the PCs in terms of voter support
- There continues to be a tight race for most preferred as Premier
August 30, 2022
Satisfaction with the performance of the provincial government led by PC Premier Blaine Higgs remains stable compared with three months ago, according to the latest survey by Narrative Research. Four in ten (41%, compared with 40% in May 2022) New Brunswick residents are currently satisfied with the government’s overall performance, while one-half (52%, unchanged) are dissatisfied. Males, older residents, and residents whose first language is English are more likely to be satisfied.
Voting intentions have shifted compared with three months ago, with the Liberal Party now leading. Currently, four in ten (41%, up from 34% in May 2022) would vote for the Liberals if an election were held today, while three in ten (30%, compared with 34%) would vote for the PCs. Voting intentions for the Green Party remain limited (14%, compared with 17%) as do those for the NDP (11%, compared with 9%). The People’s Alliance of New Brunswick has backing from five percent of decided voters (compared with 4%). Regional differences are evident, with the Liberals having stronger support in Northern NB. Support for the PCs is stronger among males and residents whose first language is English.
Preference for premier remains stable. Approximately two in ten prefer the Liberal Party leader (interim leader Roger Melanson/new leader Susan Holt) (21%, unchanged compared with May 2022) or PC Party leader Blaine Higgs (19%, compared with 22%), and just slightly fewer prefer Coon of the Green Party (15%, compared with 18%) for premier. Five percent prefer Alex White, interim leader of the NDP (5%, unchanged compared with Mackenzie Thomason in May 2022) and four percent prefer Rick DeSaulniers of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (compared with 6% for next leader last quarter), Regionally, Higgs has stronger support outside Northern NB, and the Liberal leader has stronger support in Northern NB.
These results are part of Narrative Research’s Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are drawn from a sample of 525 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 4-24, 2022, with overall results accurate to within ± 4.2 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.
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