- The PCs and Liberals remain neck in neck in terms of voter support
- Higgs, Melanson, and Coon remain in tight race as most preferred as Premier
May 25, 2022
Satisfaction with the performance of the provincial government led by PC Premier Blaine Higgs has declined compared with three months ago, according to the latest survey by Narrative Research. Four in ten (40%) New Brunswick residents are currently satisfied with the government’s overall performance, down from 47 percent three months ago. Conversely, one-half (52%, compared with 47% three months ago) are dissatisfied. Regionally, Southern NB residents are split in terms of satisfaction and dissatisfaction, whereas, elsewhere, residents are more inclined to be dissatisfied than satisfied.
Voting intentions remain stable compared with three months ago. Currently, one-third (34%, unchanged from February 2022) would vote for the PCs if an election were held today, while the same proportion (34%, compared with 31%) would vote for the Liberals. Just under two in ten would vote for the Green Party (17%, compared with 16%) and one in ten would vote for the NDP (9%, compared with 11%). The People’s Alliance of New Brunswick has backing from four percent of decided voters (compared with 5%). Regional differences are evident, with the Liberals having stronger support in Northern NB and the PCs having stronger support in Southern NB.
Preference for premier also remains stable. Approximately two in ten prefer each of Higgs of the PC Party (22%, compared with 20% in February 2022), Melanson of the Liberal Party (21%, compared with 18%), or Coon of the Green Party (18%, compared with 17%) for premier. Six percent prefer the next leader of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (compared with 10% for Kris Austin last quarter), while five percent prefer Thomason of the NDP (unchanged). Regionally, Higgs has stronger support in Southern NB and Melanson in Northern NB, while the three top leaders are essentially on par in Moncton and area.
These results are part of Narrative Research’s Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are drawn from a sample of 607 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from May 9-19, 2022, with overall results accurate to within ± 4.0 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.
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