NS: The PCs maintain a strong lead in terms of voter support, despite declining levels of satisfaction with the provincial government’s performance.

June 6, 2024

Satisfaction with the performance of the provincial government led by Tim Houston has declined, according to the latest survey by Narrative Research. Currently, 44% of residents are satisfied, down from 52% in February 2024. Close to one-half (48%) are dissatisfied, up from 40%. Satisfaction levels vary across the province with satisfaction highest in mainland NS outside Halifax, and lowest in Cape Breton. Dissatisfaction is higher among those 18 to 34 years old than those older.

Despite declining satisfaction, the PCs continue to hold a strong lead in terms of decided voter intentions, with results stable compared with three months ago. One-half of decided voters (50%, compared with 49% in February 2024) would vote for the PCs if an election were held today, reflecting more than double the voting intentions for any other party. Relatively equal proportions would vote for the Liberals (23%, compared with 25%), or the NDP (22%, compared with 20%).  Few decided voters would support the Green Party (3%, compared with 5%). Support for the NDP is higher in HRM than elsewhere in the province.

When asked who they would prefer as Premier, Tim Houston of the PC Party maintains a lead, with results stable compared with three months ago. Tim Houston is the preferred choice of one-third (34%, compared with 35% in February 2024). Similar proportions prefer Claudia Chender of the NDP (16%, compared with 13%) and Zach Churchill of the Liberal Party (15%, compared with 17%). Few prefer the Green Party leader Anthony Edmonds (4%, unchanged).

These results are part of Narrative Research’s Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are drawn from an overall sample of 400 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from May 7-29, 2024, with overall results accurate to within ±4.9 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times. The results are weighted by region, age, and gender to reflect the overall Nova Scotian adult population.

Narrative Research, www.narrativeresearch.ca, is a non-partisan, 100% Canadian-owned research company, certified as a Women Business Enterprise (WBE). Follow us on LinkedIn or at narrativeresearch.ca/news. 

For more information, please contact:

Margaret Brigley, CEO, Narrative Research at 902.493.3830, mbrigley@narrativeresearch.ca

For PDF and Data tables, click here.