- In New Brunswick, the Liberals lead in provincial voting intentions.
- In Prince Edward Island, the Green Party is experiencing a surge in support.
- In Nova Scotia, the NDP Party leads in voting intentions on a province-wide basis.
- In Newfoundland & Labrador, the Progressive Conservatives and Liberals are essentially tied.
HALIFAX, July 2, 2026:
Provincial Government Performance: Results of Narrative Research’s most recent Atlantic Quarterly© survey show that Atlantic Canadians’ satisfaction with their respective provincial government’s performance is low. In both PEI and Nova Scotia, a majority are dissatisfied with their provincial government’s performance (55% and 59%, respectively). In New Brunswick and Newfoundland & Labrador, opinions are more divided between those who are satisfied (NB 35%, NL 28%) and those who are dissatisfied (NB 37%, NL 29%).
Although no provincial elections are imminent in the region, eligible voters were asked which party they would support if an election were held today. Overall voting intentions provide insight into how current levels of dissatisfaction may be influencing political preferences.
New Brunswick:
In New Brunswick, the Liberal Party leads among eligible voters. If a provincial election were held today, close to three in ten (28%) would vote Liberal, while two in ten would support the Progressive Conservatives (21%). One in ten would support the Green Party (9%), while support is more limited for both the Libertarian Party of New Brunswick (6%) and the NDP (4%). More than one-quarter (27%) are undecided or unsure.
The Liberals lead across the region, with support being highest in the Moncton region. Across New Brunswick, residents express a preference for Susan Holt as Premier.
Prince Edward Island:
In PEI, higher levels of frustration appear to be reflected in changing voting intentions. If a provincial election were held today, four in ten eligible voters (40%) would support the Green Party, while two in ten (19%) would vote Liberal. Just over one in ten (13%) would support the incumbent Progressive Conservative Party, while support remains limited for the NDP (2%). One quarter of eligible voters (26%) are undecided or unsure.
The Green Party leads province wide. A clear preference is expressed for Matt MacFarlane as Premier.
Nova Scotia:
In Nova Scotia, the NDP leads across the province. If a provincial election were held today, three in ten eligible voters (31%) would support the NDP, while a similar proportion (28%) are undecided or unsure which party they would support. Two in ten (20%) would support the incumbent Progressive Conservatives, while one in six (16%) would support the Liberal Party.
Support for the NDP varies across the province and is strongest in the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM). Overall, Nova Scotians voice a preference for Claudia Chender as Premier, although that preference is most pronounced in HRM, and more divided across parties in Cape Breton and mainland NS.
Newfoundland & Labrador:
In Newfoundland & Labrador, the Progressive Conservatives and Liberals are essentially tied. If a provincial election were held today, more than one quarter would support the incumbent PCs (27%), while a similar proportion (26%) would support the Liberal Party. One quarter (26%) are undecided or unsure which party they would support, while just under two in ten (18%) would support the NDP.
Support varies by region with support for the Progressive Conservatives strongest in Western NL. Like voting intentions, preference for Premier is similarly fragmented, with a three-way tie for Tony Wakeham, John Hogan and Jim Dinn.
“These results highlight a common theme across Atlantic Canada – voters are expressing frustration with the status quo, but that dissatisfaction is translating into different political outcomes in each province,” said Margaret Brigley, CEO & Partner, Narrative Research. “While there are no provincial elections on the immediate horizon, these findings suggest that many Atlantic Canadians remain open to alternatives and are closely evaluating the performance of their provincial governments.”
These results are part of Narrative Research’s Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly survey. This quarter, results were collected online using Narrative Research’s East Coast Voice Online panel. In total, 1,614 completed surveys were achieved across the region (NS: n=733; NB: n=495; NL: n=237; PEI: n=147) from June 10-17, 2026 with eligible voters. The results are weighted by region, age, and gender to reflect the overall adult population in each province.
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Narrative Research, www.narrativeresearch.ca, is a non-partisan, 100% Canadian-owned research company, certified as a Women Business Enterprise (WBE). Follow us on LinkedIn or at narrativeresearch.ca/news.
For more information, please contact:
Margaret Brigley, CEO, Narrative Research at 902.493-3830 mbrigley@narrativeresearch.ca
OR
Margaret Chapman, COO, Narrative Research at 902.493-3834 mchapman@narrativeresearch.ca
