- Close to one-half of Canadians overall do not support any of the proposed candidates in becoming the next leader of the federal Conservative Party.
- Supporters of the Conservative Party of Canada are most likely to prefer Pierre Poilievre as the next party leader.
June 8, 2022
Ahead of the election for the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) on September 10th, 2022, we asked Canadians which candidate they prefer. When Canadians are considered overall, nearly one-half are not in favour of any of the current candidates (47%). Among those who chose one of the listed contenders, Canadians were most likely to prefer either Jean Charest (20%) or Pierre Poilievre (18%). Less popular are Patrick Brown (8%), Leslyn Lewis (3%), Scott Aitchison (2%), and Roman Baber (2%).
Among supporters of the Conservative Party, preferences shift. Conservative supporters are most likely to support Pierre Poilievre as the next party leader (45%), and only two in ten indicate that they would not choose any of the listed candidates (21%). Jean Charest is less preferred among supporters of the CPC than among Canadians in general (14%), and one in ten Conservative supporters prefer Patrick Brown (10%). Leslyn Lewis (4%), Scott Aitchison (4%) and Roman Baber (1%) are least preferred among supporters of the CPC.
When age is considered, young Canadians aged 18-24 are most likely to indicate that they would not choose any of the current candidates, while Canadians aged 55+ are most likely to indicate that their preferred candidate is one of those in the running. Older Canadians (55+) are also most likely to prefer Jean Charest compared to younger Canadians and tend to prefer him compared to other contenders by a large margin. In addition, women are more likely than men to note that they do not prefer any of the candidates, and likelihood of answering ‘none of the above’ also increases as household income decreases. Across provinces, there is little variation in terms of support for candidates.
Results shown are from a survey conducted in partnership between Narrative Research and the Logit Group. The survey was conducted online between May 17 and 19, 2022 with 1,234 Canadians 18 years of age or older from the Logit Group’s Canadian Omnibus. Data were weighted based on the 2016 Census, by gender, age, and region to reflect these population characteristics in each province. As a non-probability sample (i.e., a panel sample where residents have joined a panel to share their opinions), and in accordance with CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards, a margin of error is not applied.
The question included in this press release included the following:
In national or federal elections, do you generally consider yourself to be a supporter of the…
- Liberal Party
- Conservative Party
- New Democratic Party
- People’s Party of Canada
- Green Party
- Bloc Québécois
- None of the above
The national Conservative Party is selecting a new leader, with the winner to be announced on September 10th. Which one of the following candidates would you most prefer as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada?
- Scott Aitchison
- Roman Baber
- Patrick Brown
- Jean Charest
- Leslyn Lewis
- Pierre Poilievre
- None of the above
For more information, please contact:
Margaret Chapman, COO, Narrative Research – 902.222.4048, mchapman@narrativeresearch.ca
OR
Sam Pisani, Managing Partner, Logit Group – 416.629.4116, sam.pisani@logitgroup.com
Narrative Research (www.narrativeresearch.ca), is a leading public opinion and market research company headquartered in Canada. The company was recently certified as a WBE (Women Business Enterprise). As a non-partisan, 100% Canadian-owned research company, Narrative Research is dedicated to providing clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services.
The Logit Group (https://logitgroup.com/) is a leading North American data collection and market research execution company headquartered in Toronto, conducting large-scale projects for a variety of well-known research agencies and brands. Logit employs industry-best technologies across an array of methodologies, and is independent, experienced and quality-oriented.
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