- Gap narrows between Liberals and Conservatives in decided voter support, with support for the NDP and the Green Party trailing.
- Justin Trudeau is most preferred as Prime Minister, however Jagmeet Singh and Erin O’Toole have gained ground.
HALIFAX, September 2, 2021: Poll results from early in the Federal Election campaign suggest a narrowing of the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives in PEI. As of August 25th, decided voter intentions place the Liberals at 39%, followed by the Conservatives (35%), NDP (13%) and the Green Party (12%). These results reflect a decline in decided voter support for the Liberals (down 6 points from 45% in May), while backing for the Conservatives has increased (up 10 points from 25% in May). Meanwhile, support for the NDP has increased modestly (up 4 points from 9% in May), while Green Party support has declined (down 5 points from May). Three in ten Islanders are undecided (28%) in their voting intentions.
Across the province, the results are generally consistent. Decided voting intentions vary somewhat by age, with older residents (55+) being more likely than other age groups to vote for the Liberals.
“These findings reflect a shift in public opinion compared to findings in May,” said Margaret Brigley, CEO of Narrative Research. “Results indicate the Conservative Party has gained some momentum in PEI, at the expense of the Liberals and the Green Party, suggesting the Island’s seats could be at play in this Election.”
Despite the narrowing gap in voting intentions between the two main parties, six in ten residents (63%) express some level of satisfaction with the overall performance of the federal government, generally consistent with satisfaction levels reported in May.
In terms of leadership preference, one-third of Islanders express a preference for Justin Trudeau (34% compared with 40% in May). Erin O’Toole receives 20% of mentions (compared with 14% in May), while Jagmeet Singh is close behind with 19% of the mentions (compared with 11% in May). Fourteen percent of Islanders do not have a leadership preference, and 4% prefer none of the main party leaders.
These results are part of Narrative Research’s Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadian residents, and are based on a sample of 247 adult Islanders, conducted from August 15-25, 2021, with overall results accurate to within ± 6.2 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.
Narrative Research www.narrativeresearch.ca, is non-partisan and is one of Canada’s leading public opinion and market research companies. Follow us on Twitter @EveryNarrative.
For more information, please contact:
Margaret Brigley, CEO, Narrative Research at 902.493-3830, mbrigley@narrativeresearch.ca
